The results of a recent survey by MBQF, a public affairs consulting firm, concerning top tier GOP candidates for president of the United States of America show it is a three-way race between Sen. Ted Cruz, Sen. Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump in Arizona.
| AZ GOP Presidential Primary 2016 | |
| Donald Trump | |
| Ted Cruz | |
| Marco Rubio | |
| Ben Carson | |
| Jeb Bush | |
| Chris Christie | |
| Carly Fiorina | |
| John Kasich | |
| Mike Huckabee | |
| Rand Paul | |
| Unsure/Undecided |
The results from the survey show high efficacy primary Republican voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.
In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 771 high efficacy primary republican voters, conducted on January 19, 2016, the survey calculates a 3.53% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.
Consultant and pollster, Michael Noble, stated, “With Dr. Ben Carson’s campaign on the ropes much of his support seems to have gravitated to Donald Trump. The GOP presidential primary in Arizona is now down to a three-way race between Trump, Cruz and Rubio although Trump holds a commanding lead.”
The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.53%.
The exact question was phrased: “If the election were held today for the Republican primary for President of the United States, which of the following top 10 candidates, listed in alphabetical order by last name, would you be most likely to vote for?”