| [polldaddy poll=9004501] |
Donald Trump, with Scott Walker a distant second, are the top choices for Arizona Republicans according to a recent poll conducted by MBQF. The results from the survey show high efficacy primary Republican voters across Arizona represented by likely 2016 turnout models.
In the most recent automated telephonic survey of 758 high efficacy primary republican voters, conducted on July 29, 2015, the survey calculates a 3.56% theoretical margin of error, plus or minus in percentage points, 95% of the time.
A. J. LaFaro, former head of the Maricopa County Republican Party, said earlier this month after Trump’s visit to Arizona, which drew a large crowd, “I understand that Mr. Trump is saying what a lot of people here in the United States, and what I would like to think a majority of the people here in the Unites States – are thinking.” Trump has been very critical of the open border between the United States and Mexico.
MBQF’s Michael Noble stated, “With the crowded field of GOP presidential candidates jockeying for the top 10 positions to be in the first upcoming presidential debate momentum is crucial. According to likely Arizona GOP voters Donald Trump is by far and away the candidate that most resonates, in which he also polled at a 61.3% favorability rating.”
The exact question was phrased, “If the election were held today for the Republican primary for President of the United States, which of the following top 10 candidates, listed in alphabetical order by last name, would you be most likely to vote for?”
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| AZ GOP Presidential Primary 2016 | July 29, 2015 Results |
| Jeb Bush | 12.1% |
| Ben Carson | 8.7% |
| Chris Christie | 1.7% |
| Ted Cruz | 6.0% |
| Mike Huckabee | 3.9% |
| Rand Paul | 1.7% |
| Rick Perry | 2.0% |
| Marco Rubio | 3.9% |
| Donald Trump | 26.5% |
| Scott Walker | 12.6% |
| Unsure/Undecided | 21% |
The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.56%.