By Zachery Schmidt
Republican candidate Karrin Taylor Robson dropping out of the Arizona gubernatorial race benefits U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Gilbert, more than U.S. Rep. David Schweikert, R-Scottsdale, according to Mike Noble, CEO of Noble Predictive Insights.
Earlier this month, Taylor Robson announced she would suspend her gubernatorial campaign.
She called the decision “not an easy one” and said she “would do anything to protect [Arizona] from the growing radicalism of the left.”
“We cannot afford a divisive Republican primary that drains resources and turns into months of intraparty attacks. It only weakens our conservative cause and gives the left exactly what they want: a fractured Republican Party heading into November,” Taylor Robson stated.
“With so much on the line in 2026, I am not willing to contribute to that outcome,” she added.
The Republican and Democratic primaries for the gubernatorial race will take place July 21. Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs is running unopposed in the primary. The winner of the GOP primary will face Hobbs in the Nov. 3 general election.
As to why Biggs is in a better position than Schweikert, Noble noted Biggs has the endorsement of President Donald Trump.
Trump had previously endorsed both Taylor Robson and Biggs for the Arizona gubernatorial race.
Noble noted Trump’s brand is “very popular” with the Arizona Republican Party.
When Taylor Robson was still in the race, there was “no statistical difference” among the three candidates in going up against Hobbs in a general election, Noble said.
However, based on polling data, Noble said Hobbs is in a “pretty good spot.”
“She has the advantage right now,” Noble told The Center Square.
Hobbs has the upper hand over the Republican gubernatorial candidates because she doesn’t have to face any primary challengers, Noble said.
The governor announced in January that she had raised nearly $15 million for her gubernatorial campaign.
Noble said there is a “huge enthusiasm gap between Democrats and Republicans” nationwide, citing special elections in which Democrats have been outperforming their 2024 numbers by about 13 points.
“The momentum is definitely behind Democrats right now, “ he explained.
In Taylor Robson’s announcement, she told her supporters to “stay engaged, stay involved, and stay focused on the mission ahead.”
“Arizona is worth fighting for, and this election will determine the direction of our state for years to come,” she explained.
Noble told The Center Square that it “was too early to tell” which candidate would receive the most support from Taylor Robson supporters, but he said it is “more likely” that Schweikert would receive their support rather than Biggs.
The last time a Republican faced Hobbs in a general election was Kari Lake in 2022, who lost the election by 17,117 votes.
Noble said Lake was popular among Arizona GOP voters but not among independent voters.
Biggs & Hobbs both have documented history. Biggs should run on his, while Hobbs will run from hers. Noble noted Trump & Lake are ‘very popular’ with the Arizona Republican Party, but the AZGOP didn’t turn out in enough numbers to defeat Hobbs, so there’s that. Biggs needs to smile, kiss babies, do MAGA _and_ MAZGA, AND point out how Katie is Hobbling AZ. I hate to lose him in federal Congress, but we need a strong executive to fight Lefty loons on our own legislature, and to rally the party to turn AZ solid red, again.
If we are to beat KKKatie Hobbs in November two things must happen:
1. Robson needs to throw her support behind Andy Biggs
2. Schweikert needs to bow out of the race and throw his support behind Biggs
Having Biggs and Schweikert slugging it out till November is just plain stupid. Resources expended during this primary can be diverted towards the General Election to beat Hobbs. I prefer Biggs because Biggs is an Alpha male and Schweikert is Beta. We need a candidate with the most testosterone…..Biggs has that!
Seriously, what is there to like the Hobbit? What are her accomplishments and appearance of statemenship? I cannot find any?
Her major accomplishments are being a Democrat and vetoing every law passed by the AZ Legislature that she doesn’t agree with. Oh yes, I forgot, and running a successful campaign for Governor by Zoom.
All I hear that early polling shows the Hobbit winning again and I am hearing RINOs and media saying that Biggs is not a people person and cannot win.
Are these true? Or is it the uninformed and ill-informed voter’s voices?
Mike Noble is a bought and paid for mouthpiece of Establishment RINOs, Trump haters, and the crooked Chamber of Commerce, he’s right that it helps Biggs, but a blind person could see that.