
The latest polling suggests that firebrand GOP favorite Kari Lake is coming up short in the race for the Senate.
Arizona “Business Casual” 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/h4YVFoFpCi
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) May 13, 2024
Polling from The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College showed Lake trailing Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego for the seat of retiring Senator Kyrsten Sinema. The results from over 600 voters marked a departure from the months-long tie in voter favorability the pair had battled to break.
Gallego led by four points across all registered voters, and led greatly among women voters (52 percent) versus men voters (38 percent), and greatly led among voters aged 18-29 (47 percent).
Lake only led among men voters by 48 percent. Only 34 percent of women voters said they would vote for her, and only 28 percent of the youth did as well.
14 percent overall of voters polled said they didn’t know who they would vote for, or refused to say.
Lake’s falling behind doesn’t equate to a struggle across GOP candidates in Arizona and other swing states.
Former President Donald Trump led President Joe Biden in the same polling by seven points. Trump also led in Pennsylvania by five points, Michigan by seven points, Georgia by 10 points, and Nevada by 12 points. Biden led Trump by two points in Wisconsin.
Overall, 40 percent of respondents said they would vote for Trump compared to 33 percent for Biden and 10 percent for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 72 percent of all respondents said they were set on their voting decision.
Lake’s falling behind while Trump succeeds may signal a dislike from independent voters. Of the Arizona respondents, 37 percent were independent, 29 percent were Republican, and 27 percent were Democrat.
Though Trump has repeatedly endorsed Lake with this race and her last, it seems his stamp of approval hasn’t increased her favorability among voters.
PREDICTION 2024:
Trump wins in a LANDSLIDE!AMERICA is UNITED!
Trump for President 2024!🇺🇸
Lake for US Senate!🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/PIkH8Yvbt7— Kari Lake (@KariLake) May 14, 2024
With all respondents from other states, 34 percent were independents, followed by Democrat (29 percent), and Republican (28 percent).
Following release of this latest polling, Lake announced a $10 million ad blitz for her race.
.@RubenGallego has spent a decade in Congress undermining border security and putting our families in danger.
His run for Senate has been a desperate attempt to rewrite his record of progressive extremism.
It's time we introduce people to the REAL Radical @RubenGallego.… pic.twitter.com/8WMxzIkRqu
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) May 13, 2024
Lake’s latest ad focused on the Biden administration’s border crisis, pinning some of the blame on Congressman Ruben Gallego.
🚨NEW AD🚨@RubenGallego helped @JoeBiden tear open our border & let chaos flood into our country.
I want to secure our border & keep Arizona safe.
Those BIG Differences are why Arizonans will reject Radical Ruben in November.
Help Fuel Our Fight⤵️https://t.co/2OpN9mTbX6 pic.twitter.com/8I6ApjI0kw
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) May 13, 2024
Along the campaign trail, Lake has hinted that the 2024 election may be thrown by election interference or fraud. Lake told Maria Bartiromo on Fox News that fraudulent votes from noncitizens may be sourced from voters registered while signing up for Medicare and Medicaid and that she “wouldn’t be all that confident” of a fair election.
“What they want is to have a line in the voter rolls so that somebody can vote for that person,” said Lake. “And that’s why they’re asking them to register to vote when they get set up for Medicare and Medicaid, because they’re giving them all of these services. They’re asking them to sign up to vote. Then they have a line in the voter roll, and somebody will vote under that name.”
The rhetoric hasn’t gone unnoticed by Gallego or the Arizona Democratic Party, let alone the media.
Shot: “I don’t bring up rigged elections, the media does”
Chaser: “Kari Lake says she’s not ‘all that confident’ the 2024 election will be fair” https://t.co/VTqIX7cFWV pic.twitter.com/lo7Q863Yhz
— Arizona Democratic Party (@azdemparty) May 13, 2024