President Donald Trump has his lowest job approval rating on record in Arizona, according to a new poll.
Noble Predictive Insights released a poll showing that Trump’s current job approval rating is -17.
Mike Noble, NPI’s CEO, told The Center Square on Tuesday that Trump’s current approval rating is worse than it was after the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol, when it was -13.
Noble said Trump is losing significant support among independent voters.
According to Noble, the drop in overall support “can be tied to the economic pain point, especially gas prices.” NPI released a poll earlier in May showing that gas prices will affect how nearly 70% of state residents vote in the general election, with Democrats being favored if prices remain high.
The new NPI poll found Arizona voters are souring on Trump’s handling of the economy. Approval of Trump’s handling of the economy is at -27, the poll said.
In his first term, Trump had a “lower job approval rating, but his economic job approval rating was better,” Noble explained.
Trump’s economic numbers have taken a big hit since Feb. 28, which is when the U.S.-Israel conflict started with Iran.
In February, Republicans had +63 economic job approval for Trump, but in May it dropped to +43, a 20-point decline, Noble said.
This number suggests Trump is losing some of his voter base, Noble said.
The NPI CEO said Trump saw a 10-point drop in Democrats’ and independent voters’ approval of the president’s handling of the economy. Democrats went from -81 to -91, and independents, from -34 to -44.
Arizonans are blaming Trump rather than Gov. Katie Hobbs for current economy, Noble said.
This is a “big deal” because the Democratic Arizona governor is running for reelection this year, Noble said.
The poll noted Hobbs’ job approval is at +5, while her handling of Arizona’s economy breaks even.
The survey also found Democrats have a 1-point advantage over Republicans on a generic congressional ballot in a state where Republicans have a 7.5-point voter registration advantage.
Noble told The Center Square that this is “huge” for Democrats because there are more Republicans than Democrats in the state.
Democrats have an advantage over Republicans because independents lean toward Democrats by about 13 points, Noble said.
Around 10 years ago, Noble said independents were leaning toward Republicans rather than Democrats.
Noble said Trump’s low job approval rating will be hard for Republicans to get around and that it will affect GOP candidates running in November.
The NPI poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1%.
The Center Square reached out to the gubernatorial campaigns of Hobbs and a Republican gubernatorial candidate, U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Gilbert, but did not hear back before press time. Biggs is ahead of U.S. Rep. David Schweikert, R-Fountain Hills, by 30 points in an NPI poll for the state’s Republican primary. Hobbs is running unopposed in the Democratic primary. Both parties’ primaries will take place on July 21. The winners will face each other in the Nov. 3 general election. The NPI poll shows Hobbs ahead of Biggs by 4 points if a general election took place today.
Polls also reported that Trump would “never reach 270” too.
No surprise here. Trump is only working for himself. Remember he was supposed to end the Ukrainian war in one day? He’s a puppet for Israel.
WEAK
Noble is an accused wife-beater and a famous RINO.
He was a McCain hatchet man, and then he moved on to Matt Salmon.
Now, he does whatever the uniparty tells him to do.
His methodology is a joke, and his numbers are fake.
Another hit piece. Pure leftist propaganda.
Cronkite news – nothing else needs to be said – one sided poopograde
Probably half of Cali moved here and Noble sought them out🤮! Patience Padawan, this will out come out. More people are waking up everyday!
Joseph Stalin said those who vote decide nothing, those who count the vote decide everything. Same goes for who is conducting the poll.
I am an independent voter, although the Dems haven’t given me a reason to vote for them, um, ever. While Trump has done things that bother me, he’s still on the right track and he’s still so much better than anything the Dems have or could field.
He’s no Thomas Jefferson, but in modern history his rhetoric and efforts are the best since St. Ronnie. Sadly, while he is matching St. Ronnie’s patriotic and America-positive energy, he’s also looking to match his failures with the debt and protectionism, and is growing gov (ahem, a 9.9% equity stake in Intel? Really?) even while trying to “right-size” other parts of gov.
I applaude and support his efforts, but won’t turn a blind eye to his failures. I give him a solid B-, which when adjusted for the Dem curve is at least an A.
One I do not believe this poll. Two I do not believe Arizona voters are that ignorant of the lousy job that the hobbit is doing as governor. President Trump has his faults as any president does but just think of what a presidency would look like with Harris,or Biden, or AOC. I, and I believe Arizona republicans AND independents will vote republican and vote for Biggs over the hobbit veto queen.
Polls don’t matter when the Dems cheat the elections
Noble is a Trump hating shill, bought and paid for TDS McCain scum
Noble’s Chief of Operations has a nose-ring in her official bio pix: what does that tell ‘ya? To wit: https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/team
Nose rings have never made _anyone_ look better, intelligent, emotionally balanced, rational, or dependable. The ppl who assoc. with nose-ringers will inevitably pay dearly for ignoring such an obvious and overt red flag. That said, I do want to thank the nose ring wearers, like the Bernie Bro bumper sticker bearers, for giving us fair warning.
there are nose rings on some ‘cows’ which makes good sense – attach the lanyard and pull’em where ever you want’em MOOOOOOO
Funny, never seen any of these surveys. They must only poll democrat areas.