Fifty-one percent of Arizonans said the state is going in the wrong direction, according to a new poll from Noble Predictive Insights.
Fifty-six percent of Democratic responders said they think Arizona is heading in the right direction, whereas 52% of Republicans and 55% of independents said the state is going the wrong way.
Mike Noble, NPI’s president, told The Center Square that one of the main reasons Arizonans are not optimistic is the state’s cost of living.
Arizona previously was known for its low cost of living, but over the last four years, it has “become very unaffordable,” Noble said.
According to an August Arizona State University report, Arizona’s cost of living now exceeds costs in Nevada, Texas and New Mexico. The report further stated that in 2023, the cost of living in the state exceeded the national average.
The average cost of buying a home in Arizona has increased since COVID. According to Zillow, the average house in Arizona in August 2020 cost $297,908.
By August 2025, that price had risen to $422,446, representing a 42% increase.
Furthermore, the NPI president said survey respondents who have lived in Arizona for more than five years expressed greater concerns about cost-of-living issues in the state compared to those who have recently moved to the state.
Compared to four years ago, 56% of Arizonans liked the direction the state was headed, NPI data showed.
As for Arizonans’ optimism for the future of America, 35% of survey responders said America is better off than it was four years ago. Republicans had the highest sentiment at 65%, while Democrats and independents were on the opposite side. Twelve percent of Democrats said America was better off four years ago, and 27% of independents also said the same thing.
“Arizonans are signaling that they want to see tangible progress – whether it’s cost of living, housing, water, or the ability of leaders to work past gridlock, voters are looking for reasons to feel the state and the country are on a better path. Right now, they just don’t see it,” Noble explained.
Democrats, Republicans and independents, meanwhile, cited different issues as their top concern facing Arizona. For Republicans, it was immigration at 62%. Democrats said inflation was the main issue at 45%, and independents noted affordable housing as their top issue at 54%.
Moreover, all the groups, in different orders, listed affordable housing, inflation, immigration and health care as the top four issues currently facing Arizona.
Noble said the data shows that “unaffiliated voters often prioritize their own interests, leading rather than merely balancing the positions of the parties.”
According to Noble, Democrats are “pretty big on going after” President Donald Trump, but he suggested they need to pay attention more to “economic pain points.”
He said they should talk more about affordable housing, inflation and the economy.
This poll, which was released Monday, was conducted with 948 registered voters from Aug. 11 to Aug. 18. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.18%.
What a ridiculous poll. 948 voters?! Maricopa County alone is in the millions. What a joke!
The political sentiment has changed since Trump took office. The Biden administration’s efforts to intimidate conservatives is over. As the national economy grows, the Hobbs economy is retracting and AZ is at the bottom in job growth. I think that will be the deciding factor in next year’s governor’s race. That, and Andy Biggs is so well liked. Then, we’ll see change for the better.
Democrats supposedly most worried about inflation?
It’s lower now than Biden’s last year in office. Why weren’t they worried about then?
AZ is clearly heading towards Republicans in 2026
Gee, ya think. As I have posted here before by 28 AZ will be blue…..and you can’t prove me wrong. Between the California idiots moving here and the indoctrination factories who love them some liberals plus the McCain wing of the democrat party AZ is most likely lost. Good luck. So glad I moved from the once great state of Arizona. Its becoming California east……
Very much sucks, I mean we have a Gov. that will not explain where disappearing money went, the whole state needs an audit, and for real estate and rules regarding that, they need more non-real estate people on those boards. But all in all, Im stuck here till i die. So i will be buckling up for the major crash getting ready down the road to happen
And yet I wonder how many of them actually went out to vote and why were they stupid enough to vote for Hobbs?
Stolen election!
. .. . Of course it was
the average house in Arizona in August 2020 cost $297,908.
By August 2025, that price had risen to $422,446, representing a 42% increase.
Is the PROBLEM that is THE PROBLEM – how did ‘that happen’ I’d like to hear or read that answer. I bought in 95 for 135,000 the house across the street sold for 450,000 that next door is now up for sale at 500,000+ ?????????????????
Remember, your property taxes are based on that arbitrary “value”. Mine have doubled since I moved into my home over 10 years ago. Since my home is not revenue-producing, property tax is income tax by another name. As someone said, you never “own” your home. The government decides (annually) how much it wants in order for you to keep it. Fail to pay that amount and they take it.
Property tax is theft, pure and simple.
I bought my house in 2002 at 92K now that house is worth about 300K and everyday I get calls wanting to low ball me. I know that this house if resold would go closer to about 500K even though it was built 51 years ago.
That is still half and half! No change will be made. The idiot slight majority will elect an idiot lefty leadership and AZ will continue to spiral down following the pattern of CA.