Progress On New Binational Drought Plan In Colorado Basin Slow Going

The effects of a 17-year drought can be seen in calcium markings on sides of Lake Mead in this June photo. Officials have high hopes for a new plan to respond to droughts in the region, but negotiations on the deal have been slow going. (Photo by Alexis Kuhbander/Cronkite News)

By Isaac Windes

WASHINGTON – States, federal and Mexican officials hailed a binational agreement this fall that they said could lead to a radical shift in how the region prepares for and responds to drought.

But three months later, they appear no closer to a drought contingency plan, as negotiations have pitted states and water districts against one another, as the U.S. tries to hammer out details of the plan.

The deal signed at the end of September extends guidelines that were set up under a 2012 agreement that was set to expire at the end of this year, and establishes new water sharing guidelines and binational water improvement projects.

The plan, known as Minute 323, calls for Mexico to give up claim to some water in exchange for U.S. investment in water improvement projects there. It also calls for an international plan to respond to drought conditions in Lake Mead that would include Mexico in water reductions.

Before that can take effect, however, a drought contingency plan between U.S. states and water users has to be worked out.

At the time of Minute 323’s approval, Sen. Jeff Flake, R- Arizona, called the deal “a major step forward in guaranteeing a reliable long-term water supply by protecting Arizona’s share of the Colorado River” and said the binational deal was “setting the table for the Lower Basin Drought Contingency Plan.”

That drought response plan would call on California, Nevada, Arizona, Mexico and the Bureau of Reclamation to reduce their shares of the Colorado River water in times of drought, according to Sarah Porter, the director of the Kyl Center for Water Policy at Arizona State University.

“What it is really about is creating an accounting system for water forbearance,” Porter said. “The plan creates an incentive for all the lower basin states, and the big water players to keep their water in Lake Mead, ensuring its levels.”

Even though serious negotiations are ongoing, however, the draft plan is far from completion. Disagreements between states, namely Arizona and California over who would take cuts, as well as conflicts within the states have stalled any draft from moving forward.

Negotiations on the latest agreement began in 2007, when a set of drought guidelines were approved under which Arizona and Nevada suffer massive reductions in water allocation when drought conditions occur.

Under the new plan, Arizona would still take the bulk of the reductions under the most extreme drought conditions, but California would be required to give up some of its share for the first time. Officials hope that sharing the water among the lower basin states, the Bureau of Reclamation and Mexico will help to alleviate the stress put on Arizona’s taxpayers, and agricultural interests.

New Bureau of Reclamation Commissioner Brenda Burman, whose appointment was confirmed last month, has long experience with water issues in Arizona and California. (Photo courtesy Salt River Project)

Porter said the plan would “create predictability.”

“When you are dealing with water you need predictability,” she said.

Another major problem facing the reservoir is the structural deficit, when more water is pulled out of the river than is recharged in the reservoir. Porter said that while some of the proposed cuts “are very big, the whole point of the plan is to make sure we never get to that level.”

“The plan would actually be very good for Arizona,” she said. “It creates an incentive for all lower basin states, and fosters big water users to keep water in the lake, which provides more security for everyone.”

One of the largest water consumers in Arizona are the state’s agriculture industry, which would be among the first and hardest hit by a drought contingency plan.

“We have to resolve how to absorb the impacts of some of the lowest priority parties, like the farmers whose livelihoods depend on the water,” Porter said. “We need to have a plan to address the impacts on agriculture.”

That was echoed by Pinal County Supervisor Stephen Miller, who said any plan should take into account “who really does use this natural resource to its full extent.”

“Arizona farmers have been the most efficient with their water, more than any other state – we produce more crops now with less water than even ten years ago,” he said.

Rhett Larson, a law professor at Arizona State University said that one of the key obstacles in Arizona is a spat between two of the state’s largest water providers over the draft plan.

“Essentially it boils down to who should speak for Arizona on water resources,” he said. “Central Arizona Project, who represents the customers of CAP and is well-funded from Colorado River Water, or the Arizona Department of Water Resources, whose job it is to represent all of Arizona’s water interests and is significantly underfunded?”

In the meantime, Deputy Interior Secretary David Bernhardt has said that the lower basin states have “the full resources of his agency to back aggressive drought contingency efforts.”

And analysts are hopeful that the confirmation last month of Brenda Burman as commissioner of the Bureau of Reclamation can speed negotiations. Burman, a former staffer for Arizona Sen. Jon Kyl, has worked at the bureau and at the Salt River Project in Arizona, the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California and the Nature Conservancy, among other stops.

The newest goal, the Arizona Department of Water Resources said last week, is to have a plan in place by August, when the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation will be making its projections for Lake Mead water levels for 2019.

Other states also see the finalization of a lower-basin drought contingency plan as a long-term goal. Officials with the California Colorado River Board said that a drought contingency plan was at least a year from being finalized, but expressed optimism and a willingness to work with partners.

In the meantime, said Porter, the possibility of a drought looms not “so much a danger as a slow-burning fuse to a world of uncertainty that would be bad for Arizona economically and otherwise.”

13 Comments on "Progress On New Binational Drought Plan In Colorado Basin Slow Going"

  1. legislation of water – pray for rain.

  2. The Oracle of Tucson | December 12, 2017 at 5:27 am | Reply

    With a negative dispoportionate and unequal share of allocation of Colorado river water, two out of the closet RINO inept US Senators and a divided voice on who controls the water coming into the state, what is there to worry about?
    While Arizona’s farmers have gone the extra mile to reduce waste and improve water efficiency, cities and towns continue to grow at unrestricted rates resulting further long term demands on a very limited resource.
    As long as everyone gets running water when they open the taps the majority of desert dwellers don’t know and don’t care where the water comes from.
    Arizona needs real accountability with one voice on who’s in charge of our water resources as well as a strong national voice to ensure that we receive our equal share of water against the interest of California and Mexico.

    The Oracle

  3. “resulting further long term demands on a very limited resource.”

    Wrong. It is only limited because politicians made it limited. Conservative estimates are that we have at least 100 years of water in the Southern Arizona aquifer assuming there is no replenishment whatsoever from watershed and underground replenishment. State law dictates that we can only withdraw the amount of water that is replenished from CAP or other purchased sources. And in fact, CAP was never intended for Tucson (that’s why it’s called CENTRAL Arizona Project). After realizing that Phoenix has far more water availability than can ever be used, the CAP was extended to Tucson to try and justify some reason for Dennis DeConcini to make millions off the right of ways.

    Living in a desert has absolutely nothing to do with groundwater availability. The largest fresh water aquifer in the world is located beneath one of the most barren and dry deserts.

    • The Oracle of Tucson | December 12, 2017 at 7:38 am | Reply

      WRONG, the article isn’t ground water. It’s about the availability of water drawn from Colorado river.

      • WRONG – your comment that water is a very limited resource is false. It is the basis of the no-growth mentality you ferment with “cities and towns continue to grow at unrestricted rates”. In case you haven’t noticed record snowpack in the Rockies means all the cries of disaster of water running out are done, Lake Powell and Mead are filling. And Tucson is done with growth, it’s over. One of the reasons being the guilt that ‘environmentalists’ dish out for the use of water, “sustainable”. Take away illegal immigrants and there is very little to no growth in Southern Arizona – there’s no jobs.

        There are many reasons to manage the water supply for long term, but portraying that there is too much growth, too much prosperity for Mother Earth is ridiculous.

    • God – What Again; I have to agree with you……. 100 years – right under Tucson – I’ve heard this number from UofA Hydro folks – as well as others. Also a sizeable underground river at Oracle… the only reason we are drinking the CAP water is the farmers refused it! To everything, hard, expensive.. so they give it to the people and they use the ground water. I do remember when the ground water was the water… loved it in those years. I also remember when the Molly Mc piped this CAP directly to the homes in east Tucson – flooding hundreds of them as the pipes burst

  4. Probably a stupid question, but: if a town “banks” their CAP water & has a big supply “in reserve,” what happens during a drought under water restrictions?

    • They will then have to use what they banked, drawing down the aquifer, with partial or no replacement.

    • the prices go up… as they do when you save water – and if you save enough water the ______ does not flow down hill because there is not sufficient flow – so the pipes plug. Saving water does not make the water company smaller – it still takes the same amount to run it.. including all the retirements – so we are buying the water a second and third time.

  5. Why isn’t the water management treated like an interstate?

    Let the feds manage the infrastructure, the damns, the canals, etc. But free market the water. When you drive on a freeway there is no government intrusion claiming the right of who gets on and off the ramps. Where do governments get off saying who owns the water?

    It’s no business of the federal government how that water is used, who are the winners and losers. That power equals corruption and loss of individual and God given rights.

    • When I say let the feds manage it, I don’t mean the individual operations that are now owned/operated by utility companies but as federal guidelines and state guidelines currently manage granted monopolies.

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