The average cost of this year’s Thanksgiving feast for 10 is up one red cent. According to the American Farm Bureau Federation’s 34th annual survey of classic items found on the Thanksgiving Day dinner table will cost approximately $48.91, or less than $5.00 per person.
“The average cost of this year’s Thanksgiving dinner is essentially unchanged from last year, after three years of decline since 2015,” said American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) Chief Economist Dr. John Newton. “Americans continue to enjoy the most affordable food supply in the world, but most don’t realize only 8 cents of every dollar consumers spend on food goes to farmers,” he added.
The centerpiece on most Thanksgiving tables – the turkey – costs slightly less than last year, at $20.80 for a 16-pound bird. That’s roughly $1.30 per pound, down 4% from last year. The survey results show that retail turkey prices are the lowest since 2010.
The shopping list for Farm Bureau’s informal survey includes turkey, stuffing, sweet potatoes, rolls with butter, peas, cranberries, a veggie tray, pumpkin pie with whipped cream, and coffee and milk, all in quantities sufficient to serve a family of 10 with plenty for leftovers.
Although the overall average cost of the meal was about the same this year, there were some price changes for individual items. In addition to turkey, foods that showed slight price declines include cubed bread stuffing and canned pumpkin pie mix. Foods showing modest increases this year included dinner rolls, sweet potatoes and milk. After adjusting for inflation, the cost of this year’s Thanksgiving dinner is $19.13, down slightly from last year.
Historical Prices – American Farm Bureau Thanksgiving Dinner Cost Survey
| Item | 2018 Price | 2019 Price | $ Change |
| 16-pound turkey | 21.71 | 20.80 | -.91 |
| Pumpkin pie mix, 30 oz. | 3.33 | 3.32 | -.01 |
| Milk, 1-gallon whole | 2.92 | 3.10 | +.18 |
| 1-pound veggie tray (carrots & celery) | .75 | .79 | +.04 |
| Misc. ingredients | 3.01 | 3.22 | +.21 |
| Rolls, 12 | 2.25 | 2.50 | +.25 |
| Pie shells (2) | 2.47 | 2.52 | +.05 |
| Green peas, 1 lb. | 1.47 | 1.49 | +.02 |
| Fresh cranberries, 12 oz. | 2.65 | 2.66 | +.01 |
| Whipping cream, ½ pint | 2.08 | 2.08 | no change |
| Cubed stuffing, 14 oz. | 2.87 | 2.68 | -.19 |
| Sweet potatoes, 3 lbs. | 3.39 | 3.75 | +.36 |
According to the Farm Bureau, a recent survey found that most Americans were surprised to learn the farmers’ share of the food dollar is so small. Also, three out of four Americans are interested in learning more about how their food is produced. Survey results also indicate Americans have faith in those who grow their food, with 88% saying they trust farmers.
“The Thanksgiving price survey opens the door to a deeper dialogue about how food is produced and how prices remain so stable despite volatility in the farm economy this year and severe weather hampering planting and harvest,” Newton added.
The opinion poll revealed that 90% of Americans celebrate the holiday with a special meal and turkey remains a staple for 95% of consumers, while half serve both turkey and ham at their Thanksgiving meal. In recognition of changes in Thanksgiving dinner traditions, the Farm Bureau price survey includes ham, potatoes and frozen green beans. Adding these foods to the classic Thanksgiving menu increased the overall cost slightly, to $62.32 or just over $6 per person.
Despite the growing popularity of prepared foods, the vast majority of Americans, 92%, celebrate Thanksgiving at home or at a family member’s home and most cook their entire meal at home, according to the survey.
More than 250 volunteer shoppers checked prices at grocery stores in 38 states for this year’s survey. Farm Bureau volunteer shoppers are asked to look for the best possible prices, without taking advantage of special promotional coupons or purchase deals.
The AFBF Thanksgiving dinner survey was first conducted in 1986. The informal survey provides a record of comparative holiday meal costs over the years. Farm Bureau’s classic survey menu has remained unchanged since 1986 to allow for consistent price comparisons.